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Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match RMD Open's content profile, based on 13 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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A Bibliometric and Content Analysis of Exercise Interventions Research in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Zou, Z.; Zhang, Z.; Zhao, R.; Liu, Y.; Gao, J.; Gu, L.

2026-05-28 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354187 medRxiv
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Background: Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic inflammatory disorder in which exercise is increasingly recognized as an important component of long-term management. Yet, most reviews in this field evaluate the effects of single exercise modalities, while bibliometric studies primarily identify publication trends and research hotspots without showing whether highly visible themes also represent coherent and comparatively mature evidence domains. Methods: We searched the Web of Science Core Collection for publications on exercise interventions in rheumatoid arthritis from 2016 to 2025. CiteSpace (6.4.1) and VOSviewer (1.6.20) were used to analyze publication growth, collaboration networks, keyword co-occurrence, thematic clusters, and burst terms. We then applied structured content coding in Excel 2021 to classify exercise modalities, outcome domains, and mechanistic topics, and integrated these findings into a visual evidence-distribution profile. Results: Publication output increased from 16 studies in 2016 to 37 in 2025. The United States led in productivity, Karolinska Institutet was the most prolific institution, and Kitas, Duda, and Metsios were among the most influential authors. Keyword analyses identified a shift from function- and disease-focused themes toward quality of life, risk factors, and comprehensive management. The integrated analysis revealed an uneven evidence structure: aerobic and resistance training accounted for the most concentrated and recurrently studied exercise-outcome domains, whereas mind-body and water-based interventions formed visible but methodologically heterogeneous clusters. Newer modalities, including blood flow restriction training and high-intensity interval training, showed growing prominence but limited depth of evidence. Conclusion:Exercise research in rheumatoid arthritis has evolved toward broader and more patient-centered management targets, but the field remains imbalanced across intervention types and outcome domains. This study demonstrates the value of combining bibliometric mapping with structured content analysis to distinguish thematic visibility from evidentiary coherence in heterogeneous intervention fields and may offer a transferable analytical framework for research evaluation beyond rheumatoid arthritis. Keywords: Rheumatoid Arthritis; Exercise Intervention; Bibliometrics; Content Analysis; Rehabilitation

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Adiposity-Associated Monocyte Costimulatory Programming in Rheumatoid Arthritis Identified by Single-Cell Transcriptomics

Swamy, S. N.; Zhong, H.; Williams, K.; Merrill, J. T.; Zimmerman, K.; Hanaoka, B. Y.

2026-06-12 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355275 medRxiv
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Background Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic systemic inflammatory disease which can lead to progressive disability and damage to multiple organs. Obesity is associated with higher disease activity in RA and inadequate long-term outcomes, so better understanding of mechanisms linking adiposity to immune dysregulation might help to refine optimal treatments. Monocytes are important contributors to immune activation in RA through antigen presentation and costimulatory signaling. We hypothesized that adiposity enhances monocyte costimulatory programming in RA, thereby promoting adaptive immune activation. Methods Single-cell RNA sequencing was performed using the 10x Genomics Flex platform on purified circulating monocytes from 31 donors (16 RA participants fulfilling 2010 ACR/EULAR classification criteria and 15 non-RA controls) generating transcriptomic profiles for approximately 135,599 monocytes. Donor-level pathway enrichment scores were calculated for predefined immune activation pathways including antigen processing and presentation, interferon signaling, and regulation of T-cell costimulation. Analyses were performed at the donor level to avoid cell-level pseudoreplication. Associations with disease status and body mass index were evaluated using factorial linear models and Spearman correlation analyses. Results Single-cell transcriptomic profiling identified classical, intermediate-like, non-classical, and interferon-responsive monocyte populations. RA was associated with enrichment of antigen processing and presentation programs in circulating monocytes (p=0.0106), indicating a primed antigen-presenting state. In contrast, regulation of T-cell costimulation pathway enrichment did not differ by RA status alone. However, within RA participants, higher BMI was associated with increased enrichment of monocyte T-cell costimulatory pathways (Spearman {rho}=0.56, p=0.0248), unlike in non-RA controls. Gene-level analyses demonstrated strong baseline expression of CD86, while ICOSLG and TNFSF4 transcripts were expressed at low levels overall, consistent with inducible costimulatory signaling programs. Conclusions These findings support a model in which metabolic dysregulation amplifies monocyte-mediated immune activation and may contribute to worsened disease outcomes in RA.

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Sex-specific associations between metabolic dysregulation and knee pain: a 9-year population-based cohort study

Shirinsky, I.; Makogon, A.; Shakhtshneider, E.; Denisova, D.; Belyaevskaya, E.; Shirinsky, V.

2026-05-24 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353831 medRxiv
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Introduction Knee pain is a highly prevalent condition in the general population and is more common than knee osteoarthritis. Population-based evidence linking metabolic dysfunction to knee pain remains limited, and data on sex-specific effects are scarce. Therefore, we examined sex-specific associations between metabolic dysregulation and knee pain in a population-based cohort. Method We analyzed data from a population-based cohort of 1,512 adults (mean age 37.2 years at baseline), of whom 250 completed follow-up after a mean of 9.4 years. Metabolic dysfunction was assessed using a continuous MetS severity score (cMetS) derived from waist circumference, triglycerides, HDL cholesterol, fasting glucose, and systolic blood pressure. Knee pain at follow-up was defined using a combined measure based on a standardized question and a body manikin. Logistic regression models were used to examine associations between baseline cMetS and knee pain, including interaction analyses by sex. Results At follow-up, 28.5% of participants reported knee pain. Higher baseline cMetS was associated with increased odds of knee pain in males (odds ratio [OR] 1.41, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17-1.69) but not in females (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.84-1.07), with evidence of interaction by sex (interaction P < 0.001). Findings were consistent across sensitivity analyses. Conclusions These results indicate that metabolic dysfunction is associated with knee pain in males but not in females, suggesting sex-specific mechanisms linking metabolic dysfunction and knee pain.

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Inhibition of hexokinase 2 undermines cartilage health and accelerates osteoarthritis

Xu, H.; Zhang, X.; Fu, Y.; Liu, G.; Yuan, S.; Deng, D.; Li, K.; Xiao, T.; Lin, Y.; Lai, R.; Xu, S.; Bai, X.; Zhang, Y.

2026-05-29 pathology 10.64898/2026.05.26.728030 medRxiv
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ObjectiveEnhanced glycolysis is a metabolic hallmark of chondrocytes in osteoarthritis (OA); however, the roles of the glycolytic rate-limiting enzyme hexokinase 2 (HK2) in cartilage remain poorly understood. MethodsPharmacological approach (3-bromopyruvate (3-BrPA) treatment) and mice model involving HK2 knockout in Col2a1-expressing chondrocytes are utilized to access the impact of HK2 blockage on cartilage ex vivo and in vivo. The in vivo effects of HK2 inhibition on OA progression were evaluated using a destabilization of the medial meniscus (DMM)-induced OA mouse model, through both intra-articular 3-BrPA administration and chondrocyte HK2 deletion. Additionally, we analyzed published single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) datasets from human articular cartilage and integrated these with bulk RNA-seq data from HK2-deficient chondrocytes to characterize HK2 expression features across conditions. ResultsBoth pharmacological inhibition and genetic deletion of HK2 impair cartilage formation ex vivo. Bulk RNA-seq analysis and ex vivo studies demonstrated a promoted ossification-like process due to HK2 ablation in chondrocytes. Through pseudotime analysis of published single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) datasets from human articular cartilages, we further identified that HK2 is differentially expressed across conditions, with a feature of a relatively high expression level at terminal stages of chondrocyte differentiation in the context of OA. We next confirmed HK2 deficiency in chondrocytes significantly exacerbated OA progression but having no impact on skeletal development in mice. ConclusionsHK2 plays a critical role in maintaining cartilage health, likely through the regulation of calcification, thereby highlighting the potential risks associated with targeting glycolytic enzymes as a therapeutic strategy for OA.

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A Novel Slow-Progressive Knee Osteoarthritis Murine Model Induced by Non-Invasive Posterior Cruciate Ligament Rupture in Mice

Enomoto, S.; Arakawa, K.; Takahata, K.; Sato, M.; Miyamoto, H.; Saito, R.; Usami, Y.; Nogi, K.; Kokubun, T.

2026-05-14 pathology 10.64898/2026.05.11.724206 medRxiv
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ObjectiveRecently, alternatives to animal testing, such as new approach methodologies, are being developed in the orthopedic research field; animal models still provide valuable insights into the pathogenesis of knee osteoarthritis (OA). However, commonly used models develop OA much more rapidly and severely than those observed in human patients. We aimed to develop a novel murine model that closely mimics the slow progression of human OA with posterior Cruciate ligament (PCL) rupture. Design12-week-old C57BL/6 mice were induced to PCL-rupture (PCL-R) by manually applying an external tibial posterior translation force. We analyzed joint kinematics, histological observations, and bone structure to confirm the absence of concurrent injury on day 0. Then, joint stability and the pathophysiological progression of knee OA were analyzed at 8, 16, and 34 weeks post-PCL-R. The destabilized medial meniscus (DMM) model was also analyzed to compare the OA progression. ResultsNon-invasive PCL-R intervention induced the complete rupture in the central region of PCL without concurrent injury. The PCL-R group showed larger posterior tibial deviation than the INTACT (P=0.008). Regarding the range of motion in the PCL-R group, there was no limitation in range of motion on day 0, but extension limitations occurred at weeks 16 and 34 weeks. Histologically, articular cartilage degeneration in PCL-R was milder than DMM. In the subchondral bone, micro-CT reconstruction images indicated that, compared with the INTACT group, the DMM group observed progressive subchondral bone formation from 16 weeks post-surgery. In contrast, the PCLR group maintained the subchondral bone structure even at 34 weeks. ConclusionsPCL-R model induced mild abnormal mechanical stress depending on posterior instability, and cartilage degeneration occurred more slowly in this model than in DMM models.

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Parent and physiotherapist perceptions about movement skills of young children with juvenile idiopathic arthritis

Letts, E.; Herrington, J.; Batthish, M.; Bedard, C.; Bremer, E.; Gorter, J. W.; King-Dowling, S.; Obeid, J.

2026-06-11 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355384 medRxiv
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Objective: The onset of juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) in the early years ([&le;]5 years) may negatively impact movement skill (encompassing related concepts of gross motor skills, fundamental movement skills, and functional ability) development. Few studies have explored the perceptions and needs of parents and physiotherapists towards children's difficulty with these movement skills, essential to identify potential areas for added support. The objective of this study is to understand the perceptions of physiotherapists and parents towards movement skills of children with JIA. Methods: Seventeen parents and 24 physiotherapists completed an online questionnaire consisting of multiple choice and open-ended questions about the movement skills of young children with JIA. Demographic and multiple choice questions were quantitively analysed using descriptive statistics. Open-ended responses were analyzed using qualitative conventional content analysis. Results: About half (47%) of parents perceived their children to have movement difficulties, and 75% of physiotherapists described the movement skills of children with JIA as worse than other children of the same age. Our qualitative analysis revealed three general themes including: functional task difficulties; clinical variability in movement skills; and psychosocial components of movement skill difficulties. Conclusion: This study provides an analysis of perceptions of physiotherapists and parents towards the movement skills of young children with JIA. A significant proportion of parents and physiotherapists identify movement difficulties among children with JIA that impact daily life. Future interventions co-designed with both parents and care providers targeting movement skills are needed.

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Plasma protein prioritisation in rheumatoid arthritis reveals druggable targets and shared biology with cardiovascular diseases

Alduhayhi, S. S.; Morris, A. P.; Zhao, S.; Bowes, J.

2026-06-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355332 medRxiv
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Abstract Background Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is an autoimmune inflammatory disease with complex and incompletely understood molecular mechanisms. Understanding circulating proteins associated with RA may improve understanding of disease biology and clarify its pathological links with cardiometabolic comorbidities. Methods A proteome-wide two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) drug target analysis was conducted using plasma proteins measured in 54,219 participants from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project as exposures and RA and cardiometabolic diseases as the outcomes. Summary statistics for RA included 53,663 cases and 1,070,200 controls. Colocalisation analysis was performed to confirm shared single causal variants and prioritise RA proteins supported by both MR and colocalisation. The prioritised proteins were then evaluated in the Accelerating Medicines Partnership RA Phase II synovial single-cell dataset for cell-type expression patterns. Druggability was then assessed followed by analysis of genetic overlap between RA-associated proteins and cardiometabolic diseases. Results 37 plasma proteins had a causal effect on RA risk, supported by combined evidence from MR and conditional colocalisation. In synovial tissue, TPPP3, RARRES2, AKAP12, and GGT5 were predominantly expressed in stromal and endothelial cell clusters. Druggability assessment identified IFNGR2, IL6R, CD40, and FCGR2B as Tier 1 targets. However, several biologically relevant proteins, including RARRES2, AKAP12, TPPP3, and SNX2, had limited available druggability data. Genetic overlap analysis demonstrated shared protein signals between RA and cardiovascular diseases, including overlap of RARRES2 and TPPP3 with coronary artery disease (CAD) and FCGR2B with atrial fibrillation (AF). To approximate the therapeutic effect of target inhibition, the direction of effect estimates for proteins showing overlap between RA-CAD and RA-AF was reversed. Conclusion This study identified circulating proteins involved in RA pathogenesis and reveals shared mechanisms between RA and cardiovascular diseases. While some proteins showed clear translational potential targets, several prioritised proteins had limited available druggability information and could not be confidently classified. Addressing these gaps may help identify new targets relevant to RA management. Future work should also use phenome-wide MR studies to evaluate potential on-target adverse effects of protein inhibition across RA-CAD and RA-AF.

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Generalized Sensory Sensitivity for Prediction of Post-Surgical Analgesic Outcomes: An Observational Cohort Study of Total Hip Arthroplasty and Hysterectomy

Schrepf, A.; Smith, T.; Waller, N.; Harris, R. E.; Ichesco, E.; Kaplan, C. M.; Till, S. R.; Williams, D. A.; As-Sanie, S.; Evanski, J. M.; Urquhart, A.; Brummett, C. M.; Clauw, D. J.; Harte, S. E.

2026-05-27 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354108 medRxiv
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Background. A substantial minority (~20%) of patients fail to achieve meaningful pain reduction following surgery intended to relieve pain. Risk is elevated in patients with nociplastic pain features, but available self-report measures were not designed for pre-surgical screening. We aimed to develop a brief, data- driven screener for poor analgesic response to surgery. Methods. Participants were recruited from tertiary orthopedic and chronic pelvic pain clinics. Total hip arthroplasty participants had Kellgren-Lawrence grades III-IV with hip pain greater than or equal to 1 year; hysterectomy participants had chronic pelvic pain greater than or equal to 6 months. The primary outcome was a 50% reduction in worst pain at six months. Items were selected via elastic net regression with k-fold cross-validation from 68 candidates. Results. Of 428 participants (81% female; mean age 51), 35% failed to achieve a 50% pain reduction. The resulting 11-item screener - the GenerAlized sensory sensitivity for sUrGical rEsponsiveness (GAUGE) - comprises pain across seven body regions and four symptom items measuring interoception (nausea, numbness/tingling) and exteroception (sensitivity to sound, sensitivity to odors). GAUGE outperformed the Central Sensitization Inventory, Fibromyalgia Survey Criteria, and PainDETECT for predicting surgical non-response (RR 1.535, 95% CI 1.342-1.55; AUC 0.738; sensitivity 0.741, specificity 0.635) and for predicting Patient Global Impression of Change. In an independent validation cohort of 54 total knee arthroplasty patients, GAUGE outperformed the Fibromyalgia Survey Criteria in predicting pain severity at six-months. Conclusions. GAUGE is a data-driven, theoretically grounded screener for poor analgesic response to surgery, with potential utility for pre-surgical counseling and clinical trial enrichment.

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Detecting change-points in preclinical rheumatoid arthritis biomarkers using Bayesian multivariate segmented regression

Wolde, Y. F.; Jensen, A. M.; Wagner, B. D.; Edison, J. D.; Feser, M. L.; Mahler, M.; Deane, K. D.; Josey, K. P.

2026-05-25 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353892 medRxiv
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Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has a preclinical period characterised by elevations in serum autoantibodies. Identifying the timing and magnitude of autoantibody trajectory changes may inform screening strategies and preventative interventions. Methods: Using a Bayesian multivariate segmented regression, we jointly modelled longitudinal autoantibody trajectories from two Department of Defense Serum Repository cohorts (Sample A: 209 matched case-control pairs, 1566 samples, six biomarkers; Sample B: 309 cases with two matched controls each, 2758 samples, eight biomarkers). Change-points and magnitudes of change were estimated simultaneously under a multivariate likelihood with an unstructured residual correlation matrix. Results: In Sample A, five of six biomarkers exhibited pre-diagnostic trajectory shifts with 95% highest posterior density intervals excluding zero. RF-IgM demonstrated the earliest change-point at 8.10 years before diagnosis (95% HPDI: -10.47, -5.73), followed by ACPA-IgG at 7.43 years (95% HPDI: -9.33, -5.76). In Sample B, only the four IgG isotypes showed pre-diagnostic shifts, with anti-CCP3 (IgG) earliest at 7.00 years (95% HPDI: -8.48, -5.29). A composite metric integrating timing and magnitude reordered rankings. Conclusions: This Bayesian framework enables simultaneous estimation of change-points and magnitudes across correlated autoantibodies while fully characterising uncertainty, offering a complementary approach to prior divergence-based methods for understanding preclinical RA autoimmunity.

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Adverse Drug Events Across Autoimmune Rheumatic Diseases: A Nested, Encounter-Matched Case-Control Study

Lewis, A.; Huang, C.-Y.; Cragun, J.; Vuong, L.; Irani, A.; Anastasiou, C.; Bozkurt, S.; Donneyong, M. M.; Garg, S.; Groenewald, C. B.; Weisman, M.; Falasinnu, T.

2026-05-25 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.05.19.26352957 medRxiv
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Background. Polypharmacy is common in autoimmune rheumatic diseases (ARDs) and increases adverse drug events (ADEs), but comparative evidence across diseases is limited. We aimed to quantify ADE burden and identify medications associated with ADE risk across six ARDs, and to examine shared and disease specific patterns across diseases. Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study at a tertiary medical center (2010 to 2024). Adults with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), psoriatic arthritis (PsA), rheumatoid arthritis (RA), Sjogren's disease (SjD), systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), or systemic sclerosis (SSc) were identified using diagnostic codes. ADEs were ascertained using validated case definitions. Medications were mapped to Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classes; active exposure was defined within 30 days before the index date. Polypharmacy was defined as more than 5 concurrent medications (minor 5 to 10; major >10). Within each ARD, nested case control analyses matched on encounter type (1:4) were performed, and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were estimated using conditional logistic regression. Findings. Among 10,578 patients, 3,154 (29.8%) experienced at least one ADE. ADE burden varied across diseases, with the highest prevalence observed in SSc (35.9%). Polypharmacy was common (57.3% minor, 39.4% major) and medication burden was consistently higher in ADE cases across encounter types (eg, SLE outpatient median 12 vs 6; inpatient 20 vs 10; emergency 17 vs 8). Across ARDs, the strongest associations with ADEs were observed for supportive and symptom directed therapies (acid suppressors, pain adjuncts, and sedative hypnotic/psychotropic medications), whereas conventional disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs) showed weaker associations. Disease-specific signatures included gastrointestinal agents in SSc (metoclopramide aOR 12.32), antibiotics and respiratory agents in AS (ciprofloxacin aOR 13.71, fluticasone aOR 8.88). Interpretation ADEs affect nearly one third of ARD patients and increase with medication burden. Risk concentrates in supportive and symptom directed therapies rather than DMARDs, with both shared and disease-specific patterns. Optimizing prescribing, particularly for pain management and corticosteroid use, can reduce medication-related harm.

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Agreement of an AI tool for joint space width measurement in radiographic knee osteoarthritis: data from the LOSEIT trial

Mayar, S.; Henriksen, M.; Christensen, R.; Hansen, P.; Bliddal, H.; Nybing, J. U.; Nielsen, C. T.; Gudbergsen, H.; Boesen, M. P.; Brejnbol, M. W.

2026-06-12 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.11.26355242 medRxiv
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Background and rationale: Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is a leading cause of lower limb disability worldwide, characterized by functional limitations, stiffness and pain. The incidence of KOA is especially tied to age and obesity. It is a disabling disease that often makes patients less physically active, thus increasing the risk of other diseases and mortality1. The clinical diagnosis of KOA is based on the symptoms and functional limitations of the joint. The diagnosis is usually supported with a radiograph (X-ray) of the weight-bearing knee. Radiographic features, such as Kellgren-Lawrence grade, are used as eligibility criteria for clinical studies while other features, such as joint space width (JSW), are used as endpoints for structural KOA progression2,3. While the use of these radiographic features is standard in academia, the use of JSW as a structural biomarker has received criticism. Critics point out that JSW is an indirect and projection dependent measure of cartilage deterioration which is sensitive to technical factors such as the angulation of the X-ray beam and the positioning of the knee. Small differences in these factors can alter the measured joint space and may not reflect true disease progression4,5. Despite limitations, minimum joint space width (mJSW) remains as one of the most widely used structural biomarkers in KOA trials and is currently one of the only structural imaging accepted in regulatory guidance as evidence of disease modification in OA drug development3. For JSW to be reliable and consistent in determining the advancement of KOA, the use of fixed-flexion devices is crucial to reduce the risk of unwanted narrowing or widening of the radiographic joint space width6,7. The LOSEIT trial, which the present study is based on, acknowledges the angulation problem and uses a standard clinical fixed-flexion device in weight-bearing PA views to get reliable JSW results8. Historically, a radiologist would draw on and grade radiographs of the knee-joint to extract the features. However, manual reading and annotation is time consuming with notable interobserver variance9. With increasing computational power and the use of deep neural networks, off-the-shelf artificial intelligence (AI) tools have become available for automatic extraction of radiograph features. Automation would free up time from radiologists and provide more consistent measurements due to the reproducible nature of the models10. These tools have received regulatory approval for commercial use, however, regulatory approval does not guarantee uniform or bias free performance when used on real-world data11. Furthermore, in a large multi-hospital chest X-ray study, Zech et al., showed that convolutional neural networks achieved worse results on data from other hospitals than on the original hospitals in which it was tested12. This highlights the risk of overestimating the accuracy of AI tools when only internally validated. It is therefore apparent that external validation is required when testing these AI models. Objectives: The aim of this analysis is to evaluate the agreement of a commercially available AI tool for measuring JSW with the best practice radiologist annotation in the tibiofemoral joint of the knee in radiographs stabilized with a fixed-flexion device and acquired as part of a clinical trial. Methods: This study is a secondary analysis of the data from the LOSEIT trial, a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single-center trial, where patients were randomized to either liraglutide or identically appearing placebo after an initial weight-loss period to investigate the effects on KOA. Radiographs of the tibiofemoral joint were acquired at enrollment (week -8) and at end-of-trial (week 52) for a total acquisition-to-acquisition time of 60 weeks13. The primary analysis will assess agreement between AI-derived and reference-derived change in JSW from enrolment to follow-up. Change will be calculated as follow-up minus enrolment separately for the AI tool and the reference measurement. The main measure of interest will be the change in medial minimal JSW (mmJSW), with change in lateral minimal JSW (lmJSW), medial fixed JSW (mfJSW) and lateral fixed JSW (lfJSW) as secondary measures. This study will follow an equivalence framework using the two one-sided tests (TOST) approach with a Bland-Altman analysis as the main outcome. The equivalence margin will be set at {delta} = 0.5 mm. Agreement consistent with equivalence will be considered established if the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for the upper limit of agreement (LoA) and the lower limit of the 95% CI for the lower LoA are within the established margins. The reference JSW will be the average measurement of two independent resident radiologists. If there is a mismatch in the measurements of more than 0.40 mm between the two radiologists, the radiologists will re-annotate the case independently. If the difference remains greater than 0.40 mm, a musculoskeletal radiology consultant will review the radiograph and establish the reference JSW. The index test will be the measurements output by the AI tool. Populations: Patients aged 18 to 74 with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis, radiographically confirmed KL grade 1-3, with a BMI [&ge;]27, motivated for weight loss and in accordance with the LOSEIT trial inclusion criteria Further statistical details Sample size: Not applicable as this is a secondary analysis. Framework: This is an agreement study assessing the equivalence of a commercially available AI tool for radiographic evaluation of knee osteoarthritis with best practice radiologist measurements. Confidence intervals and P values: All 95% confidence intervals and P-values will be two-sided. Statistical software: SAS Studio and/or R version 4.2.2 (or newer).

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Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of orthopaedic modifications to off-the-shelf footwear for people with first metatarsophalangeal joint osteoarthritis: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

Veenstra, S.; Hulshof, C. M.; Bosmans, J. E.; Schiphof, D.; van der Grinten, M.; Kloprogge, S. E.; Braam, C.; Nugteren, L.; Bierma-Zeinstra, S. M. A.; van Middelkoop, M.

2026-05-15 orthopedics 10.64898/2026.05.12.26352874 medRxiv
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Introduction: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic joint disease, often leading to pain, joint stiffness and impaired function. The first metatarsophalangeal (MTP-1) joint is the most frequently affected joint in foot OA. Footwear interventions might have potential to reduce pain for people with MTP-1 joint OA. The aim of this study is to determine the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of orthopaedic modifications to off-the-shelf footwear in addition to usual care, compared to usual care alone, for people with MTP-1 joint OA. Methods and analyses: We perform a pragmatic, non-blinded, two-armed, parallel-group, randomised controlled trial (RCT). A total of 136 people with MTP-1 joint OA and presence of foot pain are recruited. Participants are randomised to orthopaedic modifications to off-the-shelf footwear in addition to usual care or to usual care alone. The footwear modifications comprise a combination of sole-stiffening, rocker sole adjustments and custom-made insoles. During a 12-month follow-up period, participants receive monthly questionnaires. Primary outcomes include walking pain at 6-month follow-up and quality-adjusted life years and societal costs at 12-month follow-up. Secondary outcomes include walking pain at 12-month follow-up and foot health, physical activity level, patient acceptability and self-reported recovery at 6- and 12-month follow-up. Intention-to-treat and per-protocol analyses will be performed using (generalised) linear mixed models. Ethics and dissemination: The study is approved by the local Medical Ethics Committee of the Erasmus MC University Medical Center Rotterdam, The Netherlands (MEC-2024-0615). Prior to study participation, participants provide informed consent. Results will be disseminated amongst researchers through peer-reviewed scientific articles and presentations at conferences; and amongst people with MTP-1 joint OA and healthcare professionals through layman articles in newsletters, on websites and on social media. Discussion: This is the first RCT to investigate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of orthopaedic modifications to off-the-shelf footwear in addition to usual care, compared to usual care alone for people with MTP-1 joint OA. Study findings will support healthcare professionals in making substantiated decisions in the treatment of people with MTP-1 joint OA.

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Integrated serum proteomics and autoantibody analyses reveal a biomarker signature predictive of flare during biologic tapering in rheumatoid arthritis

J Blanco, F.; Quaranta, P.; Dominguez-Guerrero, P.; Calamia, V.; Fernandez-Puente, P.; Paz-Gonzalez, R.; Balboa-Barreiro, V.; Noriega, D.; Galindo, L.; Acasuso, B.; Oreiro, N.; Rojo, R.; Lourido, L.; Ruiz-Romero, C.

2026-05-19 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.05.19.726198 medRxiv
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BackgroundRheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic immune-mediated inflammatory disease characterized by a heterogeneous clinical course with periods of remission and flare. Although biologic DMARDs (bDMARDs) have revolutionized RA treatment by enabling sustained disease control, their long-term use is associated with adverse effects and high costs, making dose tapering an attractive but clinically challenging strategy. The lack of reliable biomarkers to predict flare risk limits safe implementation of treatment de-escalation. This study aimed to identify novel circulating protein biomarkers associated with flare risk in RA patients undergoing bDMARDs tapering, useful to enable biomarker-guided treatment optimization strategies. MethodsA discovery proteomic analysis using mass spectrometry was performed on baseline serum samples from a subset of the OPTIBIO clinical trial (n=44), followed by validation in the full cohort (n=194) using ELISA. Functional pathway analysis explored biological processes associated with candidate biomarkers. In parallel, anti-cytokine autoantibodies were profiled using multiplex immunoassays. Logistic and Cox regression models were used to assess associations with flare risk. Predictive models integrating biomarkers and clinical variables were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, sensitivity and specificity metrics, and decision curve analysis to assess clinical utility. ResultsMass spectrometry identified 806 proteins, of which 87 were differentially expressed at baseline between patients who flared and those who maintained remission during follow-up within the intervention (tapering) arm. Functional enrichment analysis highlighted immune-regulatory and innate immune pathways. Among the candidates, V-set immunoglobulin-domain-containing 4 (VSIG4) was validated as a biomarker associated with increased flare risk. Anti-interferon-{gamma} (anti-IFN{gamma}) autoantibodies were also associated with flare. A combined model including VSIG4, anti-IFN{gamma}, and the clinical variable DAS28-CRP improved predictive performance compared with clinical variables alone (AUC 0.76 vs 0.66), achieving significantly higher sensitivity. Decision curve analysis demonstrated higher net benefit of the combined model, indicating improved clinical decision-making. In a secondary analysis focused on patients with prolonged remission, representing the most suitable candidates for safe treatment tapering, the model performance further improved (AUC 0.84). ConclusionIntegration of novel serum proteomic and autoantibody biomarkers with clinical parameters improves prediction of flare during biologic tapering in RA and provides clinically relevant benefit for patient stratification. These findings support further development of biomarker-driven approaches for personalized treatment optimization strategies.

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The Dermatology Life Quality Index is a useful patient reported outcome measure in individuals with severe erythema nodosum leprosum: a post-hoc analysis of the Methotrexate and Prednisolone study - MaPs in ENL

de Barros, B.; Maximus, N.; Sultana, F.; Acharya, B.; Pai, V. V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Alinda, M. D.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Nigusse, S. D.; Deanna, D. A.; Napit, I.; Mahesh, M.; Darlong, J.; Nicholls, P.; Genser, B.; Lambert, S.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.

2026-05-24 dermatology 10.64898/2026.05.21.26353785 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of leprosy associated with disability, morbidity and mortality. Impairment of health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in ENL has been reported using the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) and the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36), the latter validated in people affected by leprosy. Understanding the correlation between these measures is important to determine whether the shorter dermatology-specific DLQI provides a valid and practical measure of HRQoL in ENL. OBJECTIVES To examine the relationship between DLQI and SF-36 scores in individuals with ENL using data from the Methotrexate and Prednisolone study in ENL (MaPs in ENL). METHODS A post-hoc analysis of prospectively collected HRQoL data from the trial sites in India, Indonesia, and Nepal of the MaPs in ENL multicentre randomised clinical trial was performed. HRQoL was assessed using the DLQI and SF-36 at enrolment and at weeks 24, 48 and 60. Associations between DLQI and SF-36 physical (PCS) and mental (MCS) component summary scores were evaluated using correlation analyses and multivariable linear regression at enrolment, and linear mixed-effects models during follow-up adjusted for age, sex, recruiting centre and enrolment SF-36 scores. RESULTS A total of 383 paired HRQoL assessments from 129 participants were analysed. At enrolment, HRQoL impairment was substantial (median DLQI 19, IQR 15-21; mean PCS 30.3 + - 7.3; mean MCS 33.3 + - 8.4). DLQI scores improved markedly during follow-up. Across all timepoints, DLQI was strongly inversely correlated with PCS and MCS (both p<0.001). In adjusted analyses, higher DLQI scores were consistently associated with lower PCS and MCS. At enrolment, each 1-point increase in DLQI was associated with a 0.66-point reduction in PCS and a 0.51-point reduction in MCS (both p<0.001). These associations remained strong during follow-up, with no evidence that they varied over time. CONCLUSIONS DLQI scores were strongly and consistently associated with SF-36 physical and mental health scores. These findings support the use of the DLQI as a practical patient reported outcome measure to assess the HRQoL associated with ENL and its change following treatment.

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Estrogen Deprivation and Periodontitis Interact Across Multiple Tissues

Yakar, N.; Hasturk, H.; Alvarez Rivas, C.; Zimmerman, P.; Guney, Z.; Yilmaz, B. T.; Uzun, Y.; Trackman, P.; Kantarci, A.

2026-05-19 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.15.725533 medRxiv
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The study investigated the interaction between estrogen deprivation and periodontitis, systemically, in the bone marrow, and locally in periodontal tissues using a mouse model. MethodsWe used the ligature-induced periodontitis (LIP) model concurrently with ovariectomy-induced estrogen deprivation. Bone marrow was assessed for myeloid cell proportion by flow cytometry. The femur metaphysis was examined histologically and by micro-CT. Cytokine responses of CD11b+ myeloid cells to lipopolysaccharide stimulation were investigated ex vivo across ovary-intact (Sham), ovariectomized (OVX), and estrogen-replaced (OVX+E2) mice with or without periodontitis. Estrogen-related alterations in periodontitis, including microbiome composition and transcriptomic changes in the gingiva and dentoalveolar complex, were investigated by 16S rRNA sequencing and bulk RNA sequencing, respectively. ResultsOvariectomy increased osteoblast-like and adipocyte-like cell numbers in femoral marrow, whereas LIP reduced both populations (p = 0.020 and p = 0.029, respectively). LIP increased the bone marrow CD45+ hematopoietic fraction in Sham mice. LPS-stimulated bone marrow CD11b+ cells from OVX mice showed lower Tnf, Ccl2, and Il10 expression than Sham mice (p = 0.003, p = 0.005, and p = 0.001, respectively). OVX exacerbated LIP-associated alveolar bone loss, reducing BV/TV (p = 0.003) and increasing osteoclast numbers (p = 0.012). Neither OVX nor E2 replacement significantly altered ligature-associated microbial composition in 16S rRNA sequencing. Bulk RNA sequencing demonstrated estrogen-responsive transcriptomic changes in both the gingiva and dentoalveolar complex, including OVX-associated gene-expression changes that returned toward Sham levels in OVX+E2 mice. These included genes related to stromal regulation (Acan, Igfbp3, Erbb3) and immunity (Gp2, Spib, B2m). ConclusionPeriodontitis and estrogen deprivation exert combined effects on the bone marrow niche. Estrogen deprivation modulates immune- and healing-related gene expression in the gingiva and remaining dentoalveolar tissues during periodontitis.

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Methotrexate and Prednisolone compared to placebo and prednisolone in the treatment of Erythema Nodosum Leprosum - an international multicentre, double-blind randomised controlled clinical trial - MaPs in ENL

de Barros, B.; Sultana, F.; Maximus, N.; Pai, V. V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Acharya, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Alinda, M. D.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Nigusse, S. D.; Hagge, D. A.; Napit, I.; Shah, M.; Darlong, J.; Nicholls, P.; Bernd, B.; Lambert, S. M.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.

2026-05-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353561 medRxiv
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Background Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of leprosy that often requires prolonged corticosteroid therapy which is associated with adverse effects. Methotrexate is an affordable immunomodulatory agent with limited evidence for its use in ENL treatment. We evaluated whether weekly oral methotrexate in additional to prednisolone reduces the need for additional prednisolone in adults with severe ENL. Methods and Findings We performed an international, multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial conducted at five leprosy referral centres in Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, and Nepal. Adults aged 18-60 years with severe ENL were randomised to receive oral methotrexate and prednisolone, or matching placebo and prednisolone. All participants received an identical prednisolone regime over 20 weeks and were followed for 60 weeks. The primary outcome was time to first ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone, assessed over 24 and 48 weeks. Between January 2023 and June 2024, 231 individuals were screened and 137 were randomised (68 methotrexate and prednisolone; 69 placebo and prednisolone). By 24 weeks, 85/137 (62.0%) participants experienced an ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone; the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for methotrexate versus placebo was 0.98 (95% CI 0.62-1.54). By 48 weeks, 102/137 (74.5%) experienced an ENL flare; adjusted HR 0.95 (95% CI 0.62-1.43). Secondary outcomes were similar: methotrexate did not reduce ENL severity at first flare, flare frequency, or severity of subsequent flares. Health-related quality of life improved substantially in both groups with no evidence of a differential treatment effect. Methotrexate was generally well tolerated. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03775460). Conclusions Oral methotrexate added to prednisolone did not reduce the requirement for additional prednisolone or delay ENL flares compared to placebo and prednisolone, and our study does not support the use of methotrexate for severe ENL.

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Longitudinal performance of the ENLIST ENL Severity Scale in individuals with severe erythema nodosum leprosum: responsiveness, trajectories and clinical features - a secondary analysis of the Methotrexate and Prednisolone study - MaPs in ENL

de Barros, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Medhi, M.; Sultana, F.; Acharya, B.; Pai, V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Hagge, D.; Napit, I.; Shah, M.; Maximus, N.; Darlong, J.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Doni, S.; Nicholls, P.; Genser, B.; Lambert, S. M.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.

2026-06-01 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354110 medRxiv
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Background Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of lepromatous leprosy characterised by recurrent inflammatory episodes often requiring prolonged immunosuppression. The severity of ENL can be quantified using the validated and reliable ENLIST ENL Severity Scale (EESS). The longitudinal course of ENL and how it is captured using standardised severity measures has not been well described. We prospectively evaluated the changes in ENL severity over time using the EESS in a randomised clinical trial. Methods We conducted a post-hoc analysis of participants enrolled in the Methotrexate and Prednisolone Study in ENL, an international multicentre randomised controlled trial conducted in Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, and Nepal. Adults with severe ENL (EESS score [&ge;]9) were followed for 60 weeks with repeated EESS assessments. Longitudinal trajectories were analysed using mixed-effects regression models. Item-level analyses characterised the clinical phenotype captured by the scale. Associations between EESS score, prednisolone exposure, and dermatology-specific health-related quality of life measured using the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) were examined. Findings A total of 135 participants contributed 1,958 EESS assessments. Mean EESS declined rapidly during the first four weeks of treatment (-2.10 points/week; 95% CI -2.36 to -1.84; p<0.001), increased modestly during reduction in corticosteroid dose (weeks 4-20), and gradually declined thereafter. Severe ENL (EESS score [&ge;]9) occurred in 20.6% of visits and was characterised primarily by pain and cutaneous inflammatory manifestations. Participants who required additional prednisolone had persistently higher EESS scores and showed limited improvement compared with those who did not receive additional prednisolone. Longitudinal EESS scores were strongly correlated with the DLQI score (Spearmans {rho}=0.75; p<0.001). Conclusion The EESS captures clinically meaningful changes in ENL severity, aligns with treatment decisions, and reflects patient-reported severity over time. These findings support the use of the EESS as a robust tool for monitoring ENL severity in both clinical research and routine care.

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Deep immune profiling of the peripheral blood reveals disease- and sex-associated immune cell signatures in patients with systemic sclerosis

Jiwrajka, N.; Tuluc, F.; Valero-Pacheco, N.; Murray, J. B.; Posso, S. E.; Buckner, J. H.; Anguera, M.

2026-05-14 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.11.724091 medRxiv
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ObjectiveSystemic sclerosis (SSc) predominantly affects females but exhibits greater disease severity in males, suggesting sex differences underlying SSc pathogenesis. We sought to define sex-associated alterations in the peripheral immune landscape of patients with SSc. MethodsWe performed high-dimensional immune profiling of PBMCs from 37 healthy donors (68% female) and 37 patients with SSc (11 limited, 26 diffuse; 68% female) using 30-color spectral flow cytometry, quantifying 56 immune cell subsets per donor. We conducted sex-stratified comparisons and correlation analysis, and used principal component analysis followed by linear discriminant analysis to derive a sex-discriminant immune cellular module. ResultsDiffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) was associated with a distinct immune landscape characterized by increased monocyte and decreased natural killer-like and B cell frequencies, suggesting a myeloid-skewed peripheral immunophenotype. Males exhibited greater enrichment of innate immune subsets, including monocyte and dendritic cell subsets, while females exhibited greater enrichment of adaptive immune subsets. Among T cells, dcSSc was associated with coordinated remodeling across CD4+ and CD8+ subsets, including expansion of stem cell memory T cells (Tscm), and increased regulatory T cells, Th17 skewing, and decreased effector-memory CD8+ subsets. Females exhibited greater proportions of naive- and Tscm, and males exhibited higher proportions of effector-memory subsets. Integrating these data, we identified a sex-discriminant immune module comprised of 20 cell types that distinguishes males and females with dcSSc. ConclusionsSSc is associated with sex-specific differences in the peripheral immune landscape. A sex-associated immune program, further amplified in disease, may contribute to the paradox of female-biased susceptibility and male-biased severity in SSc.

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Neutrophil subsets in SLE exhibit increased glycolysis that correlates with disease activity

Yennemadi, A. S.; Jordan, N.; Diong, S.; Murphy, F. K.; Quidwai, S.; Little, M.; Keane, J.; Leisching, G.

2026-05-18 immunology 10.64898/2026.05.14.725124 medRxiv
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Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disease characterised by sustained type I interferon signalling and widespread immune dysregulation. Low-density neutrophils (LDNs) are expanded in SLE and display pro-inflammatory and tissue-damaging properties. However, their metabolic phenotype remains poorly defined. Here, we performed a comprehensive metabolic characterisation of circulating LDNs and normal-density neutrophils (NDNs) from patients with SLE and matched healthy individuals (HC). Neutrophil subsets were isolated from peripheral blood of SLE patients and HC donors using a two-step protocol of negative selection and Percoll density centrifugation. Immunophenotyping phenotype was carried out by flow cytometry to assess phenotypic expression of common neutrophil markers CD15, CD16, CD10, CD66b, CD62L, MPO, and IL-1{beta}. Bioenergetic profiling of LDNs and NDNs was performed in situ using the Seahorse MitoStress test to measure oxygen consumption rate (OCR) and extracellular acidification rate (ECAR). Metabolic flexibility and phenotypic alterations were assessed in LDNs and NDNs following inhibiting mitochondrial metabolism with oligomycin and glycolysis with 2DG. We found that SLE LDNs exhibit an immature phenotype compared with autologous and healthy NDNs, as determined transcriptionally by C/EBP{varepsilon} and by surface protein expression levels of CD10. Both LDNs and NDNs from SLEDAI[&ge;]4 patients demonstrated significantly elevated ECAR relative to HC neutrophils. Further, SLE LDNs displayed enhanced metabolic flexibility, with the capacity to switch towards a glycolytic phenotype under metabolic stress conditions. Inhibition of glycolysis altered the inflammatory and maturation-associated phenotype of both SLE neutrophil subsets, indicating a direct link between cellular metabolism and pathogenic neutrophil function. Collectively, these findings identify fundamental metabolic alterations in SLE neutrophil subsets and support neutrophil immunometabolism as a potential therapeutic target in SLE.

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Protein Response to ACL Injury in Humans Show Early Cartilage Remodeling and Differences by Sex

Hernandez, P. A.; Chu, C. R.; Huang, C.-Y.; Xing, C.; Venkatachalam, M. V.; Pace, J. L.; Singleton, S. B.

2026-05-15 biochemistry 10.64898/2026.05.12.724692 medRxiv
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ObjectiveAnterior cruciate ligament (ACL) tears increase the risk for developing posttraumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA). Females have greater risk for both. However, studies defining sex-specific protein responses in human cartilage after ACL injury are lacking. We hypothesize that articular cartilages response to an injurious environment differs depending on sex. DesignWe compared the proteomic profiles of normal cartilage with injured cartilage harvested from the intercondylar area during ACL surgery. Sex-specific injury effects were estimated through contrasts between Injured Male and Normal Male and between Injured Female and Normal Female. Pathway enrichment analysis was done using gene ontology (GO) and compared against the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) database. Extracellular matrix (ECM) proteins were further analyzed using the Matrisome AnalyzeR. ResultsFrom the 2,188 proteins identified, males and females shared 1,121 upregulated and 23 downregulated proteins in injured compared to normal cartilage. Analysis of ECM proteins and enriched pathways revealed mostly similar male and female responses to an injurious environment, with evidence of early cartilage remodeling in both sexes. Nevertheless, more than 240 proteins were affected specifically by sex, and significant sex differences were found in inflammation, ECM-related, and metabolic pathways. Males were enriched mostly in "ECM-receptor interaction", while females were enriched in "Citrate cycle (TCA cycle)", "Fatty acid degradation", and "Fatty acid metabolism" pathways. ConclusionArticular cartilage shows signs of remodeling soon after ACL injury, even when only exposed to an injurious environment rather than being physically impacted. Sex differences were observed in inflammation, metabolic pathways, and ECM synthesis.